

Monte Carlo simulation is a rudimentary form of Probabilistic Technology which was developed in the 1930's. While Monte Carlo simulation provides the most accurate results when they work and are practical, the problem is that they often are impractical. They are time intensive, often prohibitively so, and they cannot be performed unless the model has a closed form solution. Other probabilistic methods such as First Order Reliability Method and Second Order Reliability Method are available which get around the limitations of Monte Carlo simulations and still provide accurate results.

